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After three consecutive months of strong increases, exports of motor vehicles and parts fell 6.8 percent led by exports of passenger cars and light trucks (-9.5 percent). Cities like Toronto or Vancouver blow the average out of the water, where you’d have to make $35/hour to afford an average two bedroom. The country’s anemic productivity growth provides confirmation that this erosion is indeed damaging aggregate economic growth and therefore the financial prosperity of Canadians. Ontario has posted double-digit growth in seven of the last nine months and the three-month moving average has now accelerated to 22.5 per cent, while the three-month growth rate for Canadian insolvencies increased to 14.6 per cent. A decade ago, Canada had a lower federal-provincial corporate income tax (CIT) rate than the GDP-weighted average of OECD CIT rates. Tight labour markets in both the U.S. and Canada are finally seeing some acceleration in wage inflation. Chapter 1 (section 1.3) of the National Inventory Report provides a complete description of the quality assurance and quality control procedures. Recently, manufacturing new orders have failed to get any traction, putting downside risks to manufacturing activity heading into 2020. Many of these evictions do not require reporting to the Landlord and Tenant Board, meaning that the number of L2 evictions are likely much higher. Download historical data for 20 million indicators using your browser. After stalling in 2019, industrial production is expected to advance around one per cent in 2020, which is far below the 2017 and 2018 gains. Without counting same-sex partners, the divergence between men’s and women’s levels of sexual activity would be even wider: in the 2015-16 CCHS, 2.7 percent of young adult women reported having a same-sex partner in the past year, compared to 3.0 percent of men. Which brings us to the second noteworthy change: electric vehicles (notably battery and plug-in hybrid varieties) led the change in new vehicles in Canada in 2018, increasing by 153 per cent and 85 per cent respectively. At the current pace of price growth, single family home prices in Vancouver won’t recover those losses until mid-2021. Once all levels of government are accounted for, Canada’s debt-to-GDP ratio is closer to 88 per cent. Further details on uncertainty related to specific sectors can be found in the uncertainty sections of chapters 3 through 7 of the National Inventory Report. The activity rates reported above include both same- and opposite-sex partners. We encourage Canadians to monitor the number of for-sale postings as a key metric to gauge where real estate prices are going. Retrieved on April 15, 2020. It’s a very messy data series with wild month-to-month swings (shown in light orange). Canada’s dependence on the energy sector is dangerous. As Prime Minister Mackenzie King once famously remarked, “Canada has too much geography” making for low population density outside of a few regional clusters. Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada (2020) National Inventory Report 1990-2018: Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks in Canada. The emissions estimates are developed using guidelines produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Are they satisfied that the financial system can safely manage more debt, or will they implement tighter lending and institutional regulations? A second recession may exacerbate these tensions and further strain Canada’s confederation. On average, annual real GDP growth over 2019–20 is set to be cut by about 0.4 percentage points in the U.S. and about 0.3 percentage points in Canada. This “nation of immigrants”, which only began use of foreign contract or seasonal labour in the late 1960s, has become increasingly reliant on temporary foreign workers. The existing First Time Home Buyer plan and the enhanced version promised during the federal election will contribute to gains in sales and prices. The term Dutch Disease was coined by “The Economist” in 1977 to describe the poor performance of the Dutch economy after a major natural gas discovery in 1959, called the Groningen field. Two decades of weak productivity, poor investment, exchange rate overvaluation, and strong global competition have taken a devastating toll. However, when markets are concerned that a recession is right around the corner, investors rush into longer-dated bonds pushing those yields below the short-term rates. Instead of reporting on Canada's emissions by activity, GHG emissions have been allocated to the economic sector in which they are generated (for example, transportation emissions directly supporting an industrial activity, like off-road trucks in mining activities, have been allocated to the economic sector in which they are generated rather than to the transportation "activity" sector). Derek Holt, head of Capital Markets Economics at Scotiabank. This chart illustrates the impacts. In cases where policymakers only look at data for tax-filers, they leave out income information about one in ten working-age Canadians, including one in six Ontarians and Albertans. The Fed has determined that monetary conditions are appropriate so investors can expect them to be less active in 2020. What share of our labour supply should be permanently temporary, by policy design? Will Dunning, housing market consultant, @LooseCannonEcon. Greenhouse gas emissions by province and territory, Canada, 1990, 2005 and 2018. Temporary hiring can offer a clue to permanent hiring trends — companies unsure of the future often turn to temp agencies for staff before making them permanent. ‘Housing affordability’ is often only understood as making it cheaper to buy houses, however a third of all families rent. And of course, more people need more places to live – more housing. In addition, the indicators contribute to the Sustainable Development Goals of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The good news is that these businesses have traditionally exhibited high profitability and investment returns, with limited volatility, while these oligopolies also generating better long-term ROE performance while also producing lower share price volatility. The figure here shows what the portion of revenues system has meant for the mill rate, the amount of property tax payable per $1,000 of assessed value, faced by the commercial and residential sectors in Calgary as well as neighbouring jurisdictions. The relationship between temporary and permanent entries to Canada has reversed since the early 2000s. Why is this a problem? It will be interesting for those in the latter camp, namely Constellation, Enghouse Systems and Descartes, to see if they can continue to find accretive acquisition targets that will keep their growth going. Worries that economic activity would collapse sent yields plummeting. A comprehensive detailing of the emissions reported by economic sector can be found in chapter 2 and Annex 10 of the National Inventory Report. Scotiabank Economics has quantified the potential costs of the White House’s erratic trade policies for the U.S. and Canada if Pres. So thank you to everyone who took the time to contribute a chart this year. The dark orange line offers a smoother trend line using a moving 12-month average, while the blue line shows the overall change in employment for that age category. Canada has remained on the edges of the opportunity, with a handful of deals over the years in Alberta – the only deregulated electricity market with real potential. Preparation of the GHG emissions inventory takes almost 16 months from the end of the reporting year because of the time needed to collect, validate, calculate and interpret the data. If recent policy measures suggest past as prelude, further policy measures to sideline demand would further divert housing demand into the rental market. As newcomers become a major economic driver, both their levels and nature matter. What’s more, the maximum, or nameplate, capacity of pipelines is not what’s actually available due to maintenance, outages, downstream constraints and other factors. The annual activity data for fuel combustion sources, for example, are the total amounts of fuel burned over a year. Exports from Canada surged 17.1 percent from a month earlier to CAD 39.7 billion in June, after a downwardly revised 5.6 percent gain in May and beating market expectations of CAD 38.8 billion amid the continued easing of lockdown restrictions. Our 2019 growth drivers are consumption (0.9 percentage points), government spending (0.4) and net exports (0.6), while business investment is projected to be a net -0.4 percentage point drag on real GDP.